Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.993857 9.267183 10.637983 12.218708 13.986308 15.897061 18.113708
2025-12-21 6.188762 7.876251 9.828468 12.235501 15.103904 18.392565 22.426803
2025-12-28 5.254538 7.179606 9.530056 12.573194 16.367565 20.899481 26.674119
2026-01-04 4.548327 6.609024 9.243785 12.797478 17.396298 23.073371 30.528909
2026-01-11 3.940497 6.060550 8.887708 12.843355 18.132946 24.852723 33.909111
2026-01-18 3.318825 5.400829 8.294430 12.489042 18.275871 25.827900 36.253427
2026-01-25 2.834987 4.869130 7.808844 12.213024 18.465167 26.825720 38.618508
2026-02-01 2.421769 4.386496 7.336116 11.897135 18.549646 27.650915 40.747320
2026-02-08 2.080498 3.970268 6.914286 11.606570 18.627934 28.440954 42.825117
2026-02-15 1.774695 3.570819 6.474779 11.243900 18.560883 29.000178 44.576080
2026-02-22 1.603275 3.377245 6.338126 11.325457 19.138897 30.478674 47.646644
2026-03-01 1.445542 3.187225 6.186911 11.365873 19.644852 31.858382 50.607199
2026-03-08 1.316455 3.036317 6.090684 11.491258 20.292653 33.479911 53.989694
2026-03-15 1.184167 2.861923 5.936973 11.507420 20.763628 34.848927 57.041333
2026-03-22 1.111269 2.795583 5.966473 11.828650 21.728412 36.987330 61.286634
2026-03-29 1.030484 2.702142 5.936894 12.042042 22.521447 38.882339 65.214699
2026-04-05 0.936379 2.567342 5.817102 12.085695 23.030452 40.347048 68.525123
2026-04-12 0.809044 2.340051 5.498475 11.748594 22.879184 40.762573 70.231622
2026-04-19 0.705141 2.149900 5.233017 11.486047 22.833844 41.333260 72.180511
2026-04-26 0.610166 1.965221 4.959370 11.185641 22.701400 41.749324 73.886984
2026-05-03 0.528813 1.800308 4.709260 10.909383 22.591488 42.188825 75.630832
2026-05-10 0.452054 1.632939 4.435595 10.564660 22.336129 42.370651 76.956401
2026-05-17 0.414362 1.566163 4.376694 10.642173 22.847607 43.842830 80.395547